Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Bryan De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 1 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Billy Cook. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 4) — +13% Cardinals
8Lars Nootbaar out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Nolan Arenado scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.0–4
8Brendan Donovan doubles (31) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.0–3
7Pedro Pagés singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Brendan Donovan scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Jordan Walker to 2nd.0–2
4Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Billy Cook. Alec Burleson scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































