Mariners at Cardinals
Last play · Alec Burleson flies out to right fielder Luke Raley.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
SEA 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 9 – 2 STL
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Cardinals favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 1) — -16% Mariners
9J.P. Crawford doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Luke Raley scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd.10–4
8Jordan Walker doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Matt Carpenter scores. Iván Herrera scores.9–4
5Jorge Polanco homers (14) on a line drive to center field. Justin Turner scores.9–2
2José Fermín singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nolan Arenado scores. Iván Herrera scores.7–2
2Randy Arozarena homers (19) on a line drive to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores.7–0
1Mitch Garver singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Luke Raley scores. Justin Turner scores.5–0
1Luke Raley doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena scores.3–0
1Cal Raleigh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Siani. Julio Rodríguez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































