Guardians at Cardinals
Last play · David Fry strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CLE 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Walker homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Iván Herrera scores. (inning 4) — +22% Cardinals
8Andrés Giménez doubles (22) on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Lane Thomas scores.5–6
8José Ramírez homers (37) on a fly ball to left field. Angel Martínez scores. David Fry scores.4–6
7Iván Herrera homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Arenado scores.1–6
7Paul Goldschmidt reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Josh Naylor. Masyn Winn scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd.1–3
5Bo Naylor homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
4Jordan Walker homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Iván Herrera scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































