Guardians at Cardinals
Last play · Thomas Saggese called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CLE 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 1 STL
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — -17% Guardians
8Lane Thomas homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
6Andrés Giménez homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
5José Ramírez homers (36) on a line drive to right field.3–1
4Lars Nootbaar doubles (17) on a fly ball to left fielder Angel Martínez. Alec Burleson scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.2–1
4Daniel Schneemann singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Bo Naylor scores.2–0
3José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Daniel Schneemann scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































