Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Yasmani Grandal called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan De La Cruz homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -15% Pirates
8Nolan Arenado out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Billy Cook. Masyn Winn scores.1–3
4Jordan Walker homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
3Luken Baker triples (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Michael Siani scores.1–1
2Bryan De La Cruz homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































