Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Pedro Pagés grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Brendan Donovan out at 2nd.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
PIT 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Oneil Cruz scores. Connor Joe to 3rd. (inning 8) — -26% Pirates
8Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Oneil Cruz scores. Connor Joe to 3rd.3–2
7Yasmani Grandal homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
6Brendan Donovan doubles (33) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Paul Goldschmidt scores.1–2
4Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.1–1
4Bryan De La Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Siani. Nick Gonzales scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































