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Padres at Rays

SD4TB3
Final
Inn123456789RHE
SD000300001460
TB000003000342
Last play · Taylor Walls strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Rays0%
SD 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
SD 30 TB
Padres led after 5
Inning 4: Jackson Merrill homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Xander Bogaerts scores.Inning 4: Jurickson Profar out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dylan Carlson. David Peralta scores.Inning 6: Junior Caminero hit by pitch. Jose Siri scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.Inning 6: Padres challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Josh Lowe grounds into a double play, second baseman Xander Bogaerts to shortstop Mason McCoy to first baseman Jake Cronenworth. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Junior Caminero out at 2nd. Josh Lowe out at 1st.Inning 6: Dylan Carlson pops out to third baseman Manny Machado in foul territory.Inning 9: Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Tyler Wade scores. Throwing error by center fielder Jose Siri.
Rays favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Tyler Wade scores. Throwing error by center fielder Jose Siri. (inning 9) — -34% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.