Twins at Rays
Last play · Christian Vázquez grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Rays100%
MIN 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 2 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Santana homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — -20% Twins
4Logan Driscoll singles on a ground ball to right fielder Michael Helman, deflected by first baseman Carlos Santana. Jonathan Aranda scores. José Caballero to 3rd. Logan Driscoll to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Michael Helman.1–2
4Jonathan Aranda singles on a fly ball to center fielder Willi Castro. Junior Caminero scores. Josh Lowe to 2nd.1–1
2Carlos Santana homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































