Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Connor Wong grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Rays100%
BOS 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 5 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Triston Casas homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 2) — -25% Red Sox
8Jose Siri doubles (16) on a fly ball to shortstop Trevor Story, deflected by left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Jonathan Aranda scores. Christopher Morel scores. Josh Lowe scores.3–8
8Romy Gonzalez homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
5Brandon Lowe homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Yandy Díaz scores.2–5
5Jose Siri homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
5Josh Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
4Junior Caminero homers (4) on a line drive to left center field.2–1
2Triston Casas homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Wilyer Abreu scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































