Blue Jays at Rays
Last play · Nathan Lukes grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Rays100%
TOR 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 0 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rays favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — +19% Rays
6Jonathan Aranda homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































