Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Connor Wong flies out to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Rays100%
BOS 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 1 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Jose Siri scores. (inning 3) — +11% Rays
7Dylan Carlson grounds out, second baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Triston Casas. Taylor Walls scores.0–2
3Brandon Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Jose Siri scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































