Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Logan Driscoll strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 1 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Trevor Story scores. (inning 8) — -26% Red Sox
8Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Trevor Story scores.2–1
6Trevor Story homers (2) on a line drive to left center field.1–1
2Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Josh Lowe scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































