Blue Jays at Rays
Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. flies out to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
Win probability
Rays100%
TOR 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 3 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Rays favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Yandy Díaz scores. (inning 3) — +17% Rays
7Alejandro Kirk triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Spencer Horwitz scores.2–3
5Spencer Horwitz singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Taj Bradley. Nathan Lukes scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.1–3
3Jonathan Aranda homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Yandy Díaz scores.0–3
2Ben Rortvedt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Jonathan Aranda scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































