Blue Jays at Rays
Last play · Luis De Los Santos grounds into a force out, shortstop Taylor Walls to second baseman José Caballero. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out at 2nd.
Win probability
Rays100%
TOR 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 TB
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Lowe scores. (inning 6) — +34% Rays
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Alejandro Kirk scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.3–4
8Brandon Lowe homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.2–4
7Christopher Morel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Davis Schneider. Jose Siri scores.2–3
7Ernie Clement singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Tyler Heineman scores. Nathan Lukes to 2nd.2–2
6Jonathan Aranda homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Lowe scores.1–2
4Leo Jiménez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Addison Barger to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































