Blue Jays at Rangers
Last play · Josh Smith strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers0%
TOR 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 0 TEX
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Rangers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (29) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -17% Blue Jays
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (30) on a fly ball to center field.4–0
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (29) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
3Leo Jiménez reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Ezequiel Duran. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.2–0
2Nathan Lukes out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Addison Barger scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































