Last play · Ernie Clement pops out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
PHI 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
PHI 4 – 6 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+100 / -120
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber homers (31) on a fly ball to right field. Edmundo Sosa scores. Kody Clemens scores. (inning 9) — -78% Phillies
9Leo Jiménez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.10–9
9Kyle Schwarber homers (31) on a fly ball to right field. Edmundo Sosa scores. Kody Clemens scores.10–8
7Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to shortstop Leo Jiménez, deflected by first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Edmundo Sosa scores. Kody Clemens to 2nd.7–8
7Kody Clemens grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Ernie Clement. Bryson Stott scores. Brandon Marsh out at 3rd. Edmundo Sosa to 2nd. Kody Clemens to 1st.6–8
7Edmundo Sosa walks. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 2nd.5–8
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (28) on a line drive to left field. George Springer scores.4–8
4Kyle Schwarber homers (30) on a fly ball to right field.4–6
3Bryson Stott doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Trea Turner scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.3–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.