Mets at Blue Jays
Last play · Leo Jiménez flies out to right fielder Starling Marte.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
NYM 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 0 TOR
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo lines out to center fielder Daulton Varsho. (inning 8) — -26% Mets
8Brandon Nimmo lines out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.3–2
8Mark Vientos called out on strikes.2–2
7Nathan Lukes out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Brian Serven scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd. Leo Jiménez to 2nd.1–2
7Leo Jiménez hit by pitch. Davis Schneider scores. Brian Serven to 3rd. Ernie Clement to 2nd.1–1
4J.D. Martinez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Pete Alonso scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































