Phillies at Blue Jays
Last play · Will Wagner strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
PHI 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 2 TOR
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Marsh scores. (inning 2) — -25% Phillies
9J.T. Realmuto homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
2Kody Clemens homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Marsh scores.3–2
1Alejandro Kirk doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.1–2
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (40) on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Daulton Varsho scores.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber homers (32) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































