Mets at Blue Jays
Last play · Francisco Lindor strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYM 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 5 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Davis Schneider triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Alejandro Kirk scores. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 3) — +17% Blue Jays
7Spencer Horwitz doubles (18) on a fly ball to right fielder DJ Stewart. Ernie Clement scores.2–6
7Mark Vientos flies out sharply to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd.2–5
3Joey Loperfido singles on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Davis Schneider scores. Leo Jiménez to 3rd.1–5
3Davis Schneider triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Alejandro Kirk scores. Ernie Clement scores.1–4
3Alejandro Kirk doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder DJ Stewart. Daulton Varsho scores.1–2
2Leo Jiménez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Ernie Clement scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.1–1
1Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Francisco Lindor scores. Pete Alonso to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































