Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Alejandro Kirk grounds into a double play, second baseman Vaughn Grissom to shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Triston Casas. Joey Loperfido out at 2nd. Alejandro Kirk out at 1st.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BOS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 0 TOR
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vaughn Grissom out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 2) — -15% Red Sox
9Spencer Horwitz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Nathan Lukes scores.4–1
8Ceddanne Rafaela grounds into a force out, third baseman Ernie Clement to second baseman Davis Schneider. Connor Wong scores. Vaughn Grissom out at 2nd. Ceddanne Rafaela to 1st.4–0
4Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, pitcher Chris Bassitt to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Nick Sogard scores.3–0
3Wilyer Abreu doubles (33) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Triston Casas scores. Tyler O'Neill to 3rd.2–0
2Vaughn Grissom out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Wilyer Abreu scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































