Cardinals at Blue Jays
Last play · Brendan Donovan flies out to left fielder Addison Barger.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
STL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ernie Clement reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Masyn Winn. Nathan Lukes scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Masyn Winn. (inning 6) — +19% Blue Jays
9José Fermín grounds out, second baseman Davis Schneider to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Alec Burleson scores.2–7
7Alejandro Kirk singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.1–7
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Nathan Lukes scores.1–6
6Davis Schneider singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Ernie Clement scores. Addison Barger to 2nd.1–5
6Addison Barger singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Spencer Horwitz scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.1–4
6Alejandro Kirk grounds out, second baseman Thomas Saggese to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd. Ernie Clement to 2nd.1–3
6Ernie Clement reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Masyn Winn. Nathan Lukes scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Masyn Winn.1–2
3Davis Schneider homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































