Cardinals at Blue Jays
Last play · Jordan Walker pops out to shortstop Ernie Clement.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
STL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 2 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Davis Schneider homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Spencer Horwitz scores. (inning 5) — +30% Blue Jays
8Nathan Lukes doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. George Springer scores.2–3
7Lars Nootbaar homers (10) on a line drive to right field.2–2
5Davis Schneider homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Spencer Horwitz scores.1–2
5Jordan Walker doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Iván Herrera scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































