Marlins at Blue Jays
Last play · Alejandro Kirk pops out to first baseman Jake Burger in foul territory.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
MIA 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 1 TOR
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dane Myers doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder George Springer. Jake Burger scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. Griffin Conine to 3rd. (inning 6) — -24% Marlins
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Dane Myers homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Jesús Sánchez scores. Griffin Conine scores.8–1
6Jhonny Pereda singles on a line drive to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Griffin Conine scores. Dane Myers out at home on the throw, left fielder Nathan Lukes to catcher Alejandro Kirk.5–1
6Dane Myers doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder George Springer. Jake Burger scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. Griffin Conine to 3rd.4–1
1Nathan Lukes homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Griffin Conine doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jonah Bride to 3rd.2–0
1Jonah Bride singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Xavier Edwards scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































