Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Vaughn Grissom called out on strikes.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
BOS 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 4) — +13% Blue Jays
7Jonatan Clase homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Joey Loperfido scores.1–6
6Triston Casas singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Jarren Duran scores. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.1–4
5Alejandro Kirk singles on a fly ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Tyler Heineman scores. Jonatan Clase scores. Alejandro Kirk out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Wilyer Abreu to shortstop Trevor Story.0–4
4Ernie Clement singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Alejandro Kirk scores.0–2
4Alejandro Kirk doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































