Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Addison Barger pops out to third baseman Enmanuel Valdez.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BOS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 3 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Jarren Duran scores. Triston Casas to 3rd. (inning 10) — -26% Red Sox
10Alejandro Kirk walks. Leo Jiménez scores. Nathan Lukes to 3rd. Steward Berroa to 2nd.6–5
10Leo Jiménez doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Romy Gonzalez. Davis Schneider scores.6–4
10Vaughn Grissom singles on a line drive to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Trevor Story scores.6–3
10Connor Wong grounds out, shortstop Ernie Clement to catcher Alejandro Kirk to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Mickey Gasper scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.5–3
10Trevor Story doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Jarren Duran scores. Triston Casas to 3rd.4–3
8Masataka Yoshida grounds into a force out, shortstop Ernie Clement to second baseman Davis Schneider to shortstop Ernie Clement. Romy Gonzalez scores. Triston Casas out at 2nd. Masataka Yoshida to 1st.3–3
7Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Vaughn Grissom scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.2–3
5Nathan Lukes out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Davis Schneider scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































