Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Joey Gallo called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals0%
MIA 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 3 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez grounds into a force out, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. Connor Norby scores. Jonah Bride scores. Jake Burger out at 2nd. Otto Lopez to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Luis García Jr. (inning 8) — -39% Marlins
9Connor Norby out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Crews. Griffin Conine scores.6–3
8Otto Lopez grounds into a force out, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. Connor Norby scores. Jonah Bride scores. Jake Burger out at 2nd. Otto Lopez to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Luis García Jr.5–3
8Jonah Bride singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Xavier Edwards scores. Connor Norby to 2nd.3–3
3Jonah Bride out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Crews. Javier Sanoja scores.2–3
3Connor Norby grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Joey Gallo. Nick Fortes scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.1–3
1José Tena doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Dylan Crews scores. James Wood scores.0–3
1Dylan Crews singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Javier Sanoja, deflected by shortstop Otto Lopez. CJ Abrams scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































