Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
MIA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by third baseman José Tena. Jonah Bride scores. (inning 2) — -15% Marlins
8Juan Yepez homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4
6José Tena homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
4Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. José Tena scores.1–2
2Joey Gallo homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
2Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by third baseman José Tena. Jonah Bride scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































