Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Nick Fortes lines out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
Win probability
Nationals100%
MIA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — +18% Nationals
7Nationals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder David Hensley. Drew Millas scores. Jacob Young out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder David Hensley to first baseman Jake Burger to shortstop Xavier Edwards.1–4
7Luis García Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
4Otto Lopez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Luis García Jr. reaches on a missed catch error by pitcher Edward Cabrera, assist to first baseman Jake Burger. Dylan Crews scores. José Tena scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































