Royals at Nationals
Last play · Drew Millas grounds out softly, pitcher Lucas Erceg to first baseman Yuli Gurriel.
Win probability
Nationals0%
KC 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 0 WSH
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Nationals favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Robbie Grossman singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Salvador Perez scores. Yuli Gurriel scores. (inning 6) — -24% Royals
6Robbie Grossman singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Salvador Perez scores. Yuli Gurriel scores.3–0
3Michael Massey singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Kyle Isbel scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.


































