Colorado vs. Washington State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
COLOTeam statsWSU
- Q4 11:48COLOSy'veon Wilkerson 1 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)14–56
- Q3 5:23WSUBrennan Jackson 74 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–56
- Q3 6:10WSUKyle Williams 34 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–49
- Q2 0:57WSUCameron Ward 2 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–42
- Q2 3:48WSUCameron Ward 1 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–35
- Q2 12:08WSUNakia Watson 23 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–28
- Q1 0:43WSULeyton Smithson 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–21
- Q1 0:56COLOTravis Hunter 45 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)7–14
- Q1 5:14WSUBrennan Jackson 40 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:57WSULincoln Victor 15 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassShedeur Sanders 6/10, 86 YDS, 1 TD
- RushSy'veon Wilkerson 13 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
- RecTravis Hunter 4 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
- PassCam Ward 18/30, 288 YDS, 2 TD
- RushNakia Watson 8 CAR, 47 YDS
- RecJosh Kelly 6 REC, 130 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWSU up 49 entering the 4th quarter. Across 70 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 8:57WSU +15%
Lincoln Victor run for 15 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
- Q2 14:57WSU +11%
Mark Vassett punt for 34 yds
- Q1 0:56COLO +11%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 45 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)
- Q1 5:14WSU +11%
Brennan Jackson 40 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)
FAQ
What was the final score of Colorado vs. Washington State?
Colorado 14, Washington State 56.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WSU) was correct.
| COLO | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 255 | Total yards | 469 |
| 164 | Passing yards | 342 |
| 91 | Rushing yards | 127 |
| 15 | First downs | 22 |
| 4-17 | 3rd down | 6-11 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 12/27 | Comp/Att | 20/33 |
| 6.1 | Yards per pass | 10.4 |
| 2.2 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 5-50 | Penalties | 6-51 |
| 29:38 | Possession | 30:22 |
Costliest call
Q3 8:19 COLO go for it on 4th & 12 at WSU 35. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.48 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 11:48COLOSy'veon Wilkerson 1 Yd Run (Alejandro Mata Kick)14–56
- Q3 5:23WSUBrennan Jackson 74 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–56
- Q3 6:10WSUKyle Williams 34 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–49
- Q2 0:57WSUCameron Ward 2 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–42
- Q2 3:48WSUCameron Ward 1 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–35
- Q2 12:08WSUNakia Watson 23 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–28
- Q1 0:43WSULeyton Smithson 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)7–21
- Q1 0:56COLOTravis Hunter 45 Yd pass from Shedeur Sanders (Alejandro Mata Kick)7–14
- Q1 5:14WSUBrennan Jackson 40 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:57WSULincoln Victor 15 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WSU Elo 1434, COLO Elo 1330 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WSU -6.6 (68% to win) — 2.1 points clear of WSU's market line of -4.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2023
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesWashington State leads 8–6 · Washington State has won 4 straight · 29% have been one-possession games
| COLO | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| -3.9 (#82) | CORE overall | +4.8 (#46) |
| +4 / +7 | offense / defense | +2 / -3 |
| 2.15 | points / drive | 2.09 |
| 2.71 | allowed / drive | 2.07 |
| 29% | three-and-outs | 28% |
| +14 | pass over expected | +18 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →