Southern Illinois vs. Western Illinois: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Southern Illinois1-0

▸

Western Illinois0-1

Final

Hanson FieldConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
SOUT	14	21	14	14	63
WEST	0	0	0	0	0

SOUTTeam statsWEST

474Total yards152

246Pass48

228Rush104

19First downs11

3-103rd down4-18

2Turnovers2

26:51Possession33:09

Q4 9:24SOUTDesman Hearns 43 Yd Fumble Return (Jake Baumgarte Kick)63–0
Q4 11:41SOUTLashaun Lester 39 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte Kick)56–0
Q3 4:07SOUTAllen Middleton 13 Yd pass from Hunter Simmons (Jake Baumgarte Kick)49–0
Q3 7:31SOUTLashaun Lester 12 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte Kick)42–0
Q2 0:04SOUTIzaiah Hartrup 26 Yd pass from Nic Baker (Jake Baumgarte Kick)35–0
Q2 2:06SOUTVinson Davis III 27 Yd pass from Nic Baker (Jake Baumgarte Kick)28–0
Q2 12:55SOUTJustin Strong 1 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte Kick)21–0
Q1 1:08SOUTZach Gibson 3 Yd pass from Nic Baker (Jake Baumgarte Kick)14–0
Q1 9:11SOUTShaun Lester 64 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte Kick)7–0

How the model called it

Market line

SOUT −28

Against the number

SOUT covered

line SOUT −28

What the numbers say

SOUT played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and WEST did not face the same ones. 3rd & 9.1 vs 3rd & 7.1

Kickoff152 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

WEST (top)SOUT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: WEST 0%

Closing line

SOUT −28

Closing total

51.5

Model line

—

Actual result

SOUT 63 – 0 WEST

Southern Illinois

PassNic Baker 11/17, 186 YDS, 3 TD
RushLashaun Lester 10 CAR, 139 YDS, 3 TD
RecIzaiah Hartrup 4 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD

Western Illinois

PassMatt Morrissey 11/26, 48 YDS
RushLudovick Choquette 9 CAR, 49 YDS
RecJay Parker 5 REC, 23 YDS

22.7sper snap · faster the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

135

Points / snap

0.47

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

SOUT up 49 entering the 4th quarter. Across 69 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

SOUT went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WPenn State vs Delaware63-7 WCentral Arkansas vs Texas College70-2 WDrake vs South Dakota State70-7 WPenn State vs Massachusetts63-0 WIdaho vs Idaho State63-21

FAQ

What was the final score of Southern Illinois vs. Western Illinois?

Southern Illinois 63, Western Illinois 0.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked WEST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

SOUT

WEST

42%

Success rate

25%

0.43

EPA / pass

-0.36

0.18

EPA / rush

-0.07

42%

Early-down success

25%

39%

Pass success

17%

44%

Rush success

32%

13%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

18%

Stuffed rush rate

24%

45%

Pass rate

49%

9.1

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.1

SOUT

9.1 yards to go on 3rd down

62 scrimmage snaps

WEST

7.1 yards to go on 3rd down

73 scrimmage snaps

SOUT		WEST
474	Total yards	152
246	Passing yards	48
228	Rushing yards	104
19	First downs	11
3-10	3rd down	4-18
2-2	4th down	1-5
17/27	Comp/Att	11/30
9.1	Yards per pass	1.6
6.7	Yards per rush	2.5
2	Turnovers	2
6-60	Penalties	5-43
26:51	Possession	33:09

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

SOUTTeam statsWEST

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Southern Illinois vs. Western Illinois?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Southern Illinois vs. Western Illinois: Final Score & Recap

SOUTTeam statsWEST

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Southern Illinois vs. Western Illinois?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?