Idaho State vs. Idaho: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Idaho State0-2

Idaho1-1

▸

Final

Kibbie DomeConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
IDAH	0	0	7	14	21
IDAH	28	28	0	7	63

IDAHTeam statsIDAH

304Total yards579

254Pass316

50Rush263

14First downs30

5-133rd down7-13

4Turnovers2

21:16Possession38:44

Q4 4:40IDAHCyrus Wallace 28 Yd pass from Matthew Cavallero (Thomas Kopcho Kick)21–63
Q4 8:02IDAHJack Schuster 18 Yd pass from Jack Wagner (Ricardo Chavez Kick)14–63
Q4 10:34IDAHAdam Watts 5 Yd pass from Jackson Sharman (Thomas Kopcho Kick)14–56
Q3 6:14IDAHChristian Fredericksen 11 Yd pass from Jackson Sharman (Thomas Kopcho Kick)7–56
Q2 3:04IDAHHayden Hatten 11 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–56
Q2 8:38IDAHAnthony Woods 13 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–49
Q2 12:12IDAHJermaine Jackson 15 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–42
Q2 14:23IDAHJake Cox 3 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–35
Q1 1:42IDAHJermaine Jackson 79 Yd Punt Return (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–28
Q1 3:06IDAHJordan Dwyer 45 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–21
Q1 6:07IDAHHayden Hatten 24 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–14
Q1 10:00IDAHAnthony Woods 7 Yd Run (Ricardo Chavez Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

IDAH −22

Against the number

IDAH covered

line IDAH −22

Kickoff146 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

IDAH (top)IDAH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: IDAH 100%

Closing line

IDAH −22

Closing total

60.5

Model line

—

Actual result

IDAH 21 – 63 IDAH

Idaho State

PassJackson Sharman 11/21, 124 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushSoujah Gasu 6 CAR, 24 YDS
RecChedon James 10 REC, 145 YDS

Idaho

PassJack Layne 20/26, 275 YDS, 6 TD
RushAnthony Woods 18 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
RecJordan Dwyer 3 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD

23.9sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

139

Points / snap

0.60

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

IDAH up 49 entering the 4th quarter. Across 70 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

IDAH went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WPenn State vs Delaware63-7 WCentral Arkansas vs Texas College70-2 WDrake vs South Dakota State70-7 WPenn State vs Massachusetts63-0 WSouthern Illinois vs Western Illinois63-0

FAQ

What was the final score of Idaho State vs. Idaho?

Idaho State 21, Idaho 63.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (IDAH) was correct.

IDAH

36%

Success rate

57%

-0.00

EPA / pass

0.63

-0.00

EPA / rush

0.17

36%

Early-down success

59%

33%

Pass success

50%

42%

Rush success

62%

11%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

17%

32%

Stuffed rush rate

11%

69%

Pass rate

42%

6.0

Avg 3rd-down distance

4.4

IDAH

6.0 yards to go on 3rd down

62 scrimmage snaps

IDAH

4.4 yards to go on 3rd down

77 scrimmage snaps

IDAH		IDAH
304	Total yards	579
254	Passing yards	316
50	Rushing yards	263
14	First downs	30
5-13	3rd down	7-13
1-4	4th down	3-6
21/40	Comp/Att	24/31
6.4	Yards per pass	10.2
2.3	Yards per rush	5.7
4	Turnovers	2
3-29	Penalties	3-15
21:16	Possession	38:44

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

IDAHTeam statsIDAH

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Idaho State vs. Idaho?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Idaho State vs. Idaho: Final Score & Recap

IDAHTeam statsIDAH

How the model called it

What was the final score of Idaho State vs. Idaho?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?