Wyoming vs. Colorado State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WYOTeam statsCSU
- Q4 1:05CSURJ Vick 4 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)13–35
- Q4 11:22CSUJackson Harper 24 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)13–28
- Q3 4:00CSURJ Vick 57 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)13–21
- Q3 10:59WYOTyler Hughes 9 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)13–14
- Q2 0:00WYOErik Sandvik 48 Yd Field Goal 6–14
- Q2 1:56CSURJ Vick 3 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)3–14
- Q1 2:34WYOErik Sandvik 37 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 10:46CSUCedric Ross 6 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)0–7
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- WYO played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and CSU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 10.0 vs 3rd & 5.9
Colorado State was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
There was no drama to speak of. Colorado State dismantles Wyoming, 35-13 at Canvas Stadium. Colorado State led from start to finish and never let Wyoming within striking distance. Hauss Hejny threw for 214 yards on 33 attempts with five touchdowns, ran seven times for 39 yards and caught one pass for 28 yards.
- PassTyler Hughes 12/19, 130 YDS, 3 INT
- RushSamuel Harris 16 CAR, 63 YDS
- RecJake Wilson 2 REC, 51 YDS
- PassHauss Hejny 23/33, 214 YDS, 5 TD
- RushMel Brown 8 CAR, 57 YDS
- RecRJ Vick 6 REC, 75 YDS, 3 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsCSU up 8 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,588 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 0:45CSU +31%
Kneel down by #8 H.Hejny at WYO17 for loss of 2 yards
- Q3 4:34WYO +28%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 M.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the CSU43 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #21 J.Dunkley)
- Q3 10:59WYO +20%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 9 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q3 4:00CSU +20%
Shotgun #8 H.Hejny pass complete deep middle to #0 R.Vick, Jr. caught at WYO14, for 57 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q2 1:56CSU +13%
Shotgun #8 H.Hejny pass complete short right to #0 R.Vick, Jr. caught at WYO00, for 3 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN
- Q1 11:53CSU +8%
Shotgun #15 T.Smith pass complete deep left to #8 H.Hejny caught at WYO08, for 28 yards to the WYO08 (#3 I.Bell; #26 G.Rutherford), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WYO Pass Interfer…
FAQ
What was the final score of Wyoming vs. Colorado State?
Wyoming 13, Colorado State 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (CSU) was correct.
| WYO | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 273 | Total yards | 396 |
| 130 | Passing yards | 242 |
| 143 | Rushing yards | 154 |
| 17 | First downs | 18 |
| 0-8 | 3rd down | 7-15 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 12/19 | Comp/Att | 24/34 |
| 6.8 | Yards per pass | 7.1 |
| 4.2 | Yards per rush | 4.7 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 6-47 | Penalties | 4-36 |
| 30:41 | Possession | 29:19 |
Costliest call
Q3 1:37 WYO punt on 4th & 3 at WYO 29. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.14 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:05CSURJ Vick 4 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)13–35
- Q4 11:22CSUJackson Harper 24 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)13–28
- Q3 4:00CSURJ Vick 57 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)13–21
- Q3 10:59WYOTyler Hughes 9 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)13–14
- Q2 0:00WYOErik Sandvik 48 Yd Field Goal 6–14
- Q2 1:56CSURJ Vick 3 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)3–14
- Q1 2:34WYOErik Sandvik 37 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q1 10:46CSUCedric Ross 6 Yd pass from Hauss Hejny (Kali Nguma Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (CSU Elo 1273, WYO Elo 1363 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects CSU -9.1 (72% to win) — 6.6 points clear of CSU's market line of -2.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2026
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesColorado State leads 57–52–5 · 34% have been one-possession games
| WYO | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| -12.9 (#123) | CORE overall | -5.4 (#89) |
| -10 / +3 | offense / defense | +0 / +5 |
| 1.00 | points / drive | 3.50 |
| 3.50 | allowed / drive | 1.00 |
| 50% | three-and-outs | 40% |
| -16 | pass over expected | +10 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Hauss Hejny was responsible for 30 of Colorado State's 35 points
Colorado State was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
The turnover battle was the game
Colorado State won the turnover battle 0-4: CJ Blocker (1 TFL, 1 INT, 1 PBU, 3 tackles), Oumar Diomande (1 INT, 5.5 tackles) and Jaylen King (1 INT). Colorado State converted 7 of 15 third downs (47%) to Wyoming's 0%: Hauss Hejny (5/12), Jackson Harper (2/2) and Durell Robinson (2/3). Stacked together, it was never close.
The difference-makers
Hauss Hejny threw for 214 yards on 33 attempts with five touchdowns, ran seven times for 39 yards and caught one pass for 28 yards, including three of them from inside the 20, five third-down conversions and a hand in five plays of 15 yards or more. Reginald Vick Jr caught six passes for 75 yards, three of them for touchdowns — two of them from inside the 20. Jackson Harper caught three passes for 38 yards, one of them for a touchdown, including two third-down conversions. For Wyoming, Tyler Hughes threw for 130 yards on 19 attempts and ran 11 times for 52 yards and one score, including that score from inside the 20 and a hand in five plays of 15 yards or more. Jake Wilson caught two passes for 51 yards. Samuel Harris ran 16 times for 63 yards. CJ Blocker was the disruptive one for Colorado State: 1 TFL, 1 INT, 1 PBU, 3 tackles.
What Wyoming has to fix
The problems had names: Tyler Hughes (3 interceptions and 1 lost fumble).
The defensive story
Two names to keep, all for Colorado State: CJ Blocker (1 TFL, 1 INT, 1 PBU, 3 tackles) and Oumar Diomande (1 INT, 5.5 tackles).
The takeaway
Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
Colorado State did exactly what a better team should against Wyoming: leave no doubt. Tyler Hughes was responsible for 6 of Wyoming's points; there was not enough behind him.
Our coverage of this game
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →