#1Samuel Harris

RB·Wyoming·2025

Samuel Harris is a Committee Back for Wyoming. Samuel's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 124 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Samuel Harris's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

552 Rush yards1 Rush TD100 Carries5.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

16 Receptions184 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume48
Explosiveness50
Consistency0
Receiving67

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.64 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Utah (SP+ 22).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Akron	W10-0	-13.9	2	1	0.5	0	—	—	—	-0.68
2	vsNorthern Iowa	W31-7	—	8	61	7.6	1	1	-1	0	0.28
3	vsUtah	L6-31	22.2	8	68	8.5	0	3	37	0	0.64
4	@Colorado	L20-37	-8.3	19	126	6.6	0	—	—	—	0.15
6	vsUNLV	L17-31	4.3	6	12	2.0	0	3	22	0	-0.60
7	vsSan José State	W35-28	-14.3	9	47	5.2	0	2	58	0	0.20
8	@Air Force	L21-24	-3.2	17	83	4.9	0	4	42	0	0.16
9	vsColorado State	W28-0	-15.6	7	32	4.6	0	1	14	0	0.36
10	@San Diego State	L7-24	6.7	9	20	2.2	0	1	10	0	-0.26
12	@Fresno State	L3-24	1.8	12	96	8.0	0	—	—	—	0.56
13	vsNevada	L7-13	-13.4	3	6	2.0	0	1	2	0	-0.35

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

16.9%

Passing plays

6.2%

Rushing plays

28.5%

Standard downs

19.6%

Passing downs

11.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.29
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.45 / 0.05

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).