Tulane
American Athletic· Elo 1543
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 10 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37 |
| TEM | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
Our model blends Elo ratings (TEM Elo 1266, TULN Elo 1543) plus home-field advantage. That projects TEM +8.7 (26% to win), essentially in line with the market.
TULN up 19 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,041 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Tulane 37, Temple 13.
Yes — the model's pick (TULN) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had TULN pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete deep middle to #7 S.Preston caught at TEM30, for 69 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:33, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Durkin kick attempt good (H: #38 A.Clark, LS: #57 J.Arredondo)
(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short right to #17 J.Bermudez caught at TUL30, for 13 yards to the TUL30, out of bounds at TUL30, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Retzlaff pass complete short middle to #15 Z.Lewis Jr. caught at TUL50, for 22 yards to the TEM46 (#19 J.Castleberry), 1ST DOWN
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