#22Rasheen Ali

RB·Marshall·2023 20212.6 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Rasheen Ali is a 2-year Featured Back for Marshall. Rasheen's 2023 season ranks in the 28th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 235 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Rasheen Ali's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

1140 Rush yards15 Rush TD212 Carries5.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

28 Receptions213 Rec yards1 Rec TD7.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency28
Volume85
Explosiveness48
Consistency70
Receiving49

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)28th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Peak game: 0.47 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs UAlbany.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsUAlbany	W21-17	—	18	137	7.6	2	1	2	0	0.47
2	@East Carolina	W31-13	-12.8	18	85	4.7	3	4	45	0	0.26
4	vsVirginia Tech	W24-17	5.8	27	174	6.4	2	—	—	—	0.04
5	vsOld Dominion	W41-35	-10.1	28	79	2.8	2	4	17	0	-0.02
6	@NC State	L41-48	7.4	14	63	4.5	0	2	9	0	0.01
7	@Georgia State	L24-41	-6.8	19	103	5.4	2	4	71	1	0.17
9	@Coastal Carolina	L6-34	-1.2	12	52	4.3	0	2	4	0	0.22
10	@App State	L9-31	3.8	13	79	6.1	0	2	7	0	-0.04
11	vsGeorgia Southern	W38-33	-5.2	24	165	6.9	3	3	9	0	0.41
12	@South Alabama	L0-28	5.1	16	55	3.4	0	4	41	0	0.12
13	vsArkansas State	W35-21	-6.3	14	56	4.0	0	2	8	0	0.11
20	vsUTSA	L17-35	5.4	9	92	10.2	1	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

29.6%

Passing plays

8.0%

Rushing plays

53.1%

Standard downs

34.7%

Passing downs

19.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.20
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.25 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2021 — 2023 · 20 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2021	Marshall	4.7	0.520	—	83.2
2023	Marshall	2.6	0.280	-0.24	55.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.