Derrius Guice is a 2-year Featured Back for LSU. Derrius's 2016 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 192 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | LSU | 2019 | 216 | 0.490 | 5.0 | 105.8 |
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2017 | 240 | 0.410 | 5.2 | 98.4 |
| Nick Wilson | Arizona | 2014 | 250 | 0.410 | 5.2 | 102.5 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2015 | 228 | 0.450 | 5.8 | 102.6 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsWisconsin | L14-16 | 16.1 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | — | — | — | -1.02 |
| 2 | vsJacksonville State | W34-13 | — | 19 | 155 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 3 | vsMississippi State | W23-20 | 5.4 | 5 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 26 · Rush Yds 138 · Avg 5.3 · Rush TD 1
| 19 |
| 3.8 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0.09 |
| 4 | @Auburn | L13-18 | 15.3 | 3 | 62 | 20.7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.93 |
| 5 | vsMissouri | W42-7 | -1.0 | 17 | 163 | 9.6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 7 | vsSouthern Miss | W45-10 | 0.7 | 16 | 162 | 10.1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 8 | vsOle Miss | W38-21 | 12.4 | 16 | 57 | 3.6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.11 |
| 10 | vsAlabama | L0-10 | 31.7 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.16 |
| 11 | @Arkansas | W38-10 | 7.9 | 21 | 252 | 12.0 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.74 |
| 12 | vsFlorida | L10-16 | 15.4 | 19 | 83 | 4.4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | -0.08 |
| 13 | @Texas A&M | W54-39 | 12.0 | 37 | 285 | 7.7 | 4 | — | — | — | 0.37 |
| 1 | vsLouisville | W29-9 | 22.9 | 26 | 138 | 5.3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0.08 |
