Derrius Guice is a 2-year Featured Back for LSU. Derrius's 2017 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 257 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| Eno Benjamin | Arizona State | 2018 | 316 | 0.330 | 4.6 | 104.3 |
| Donnel Pumphrey | San Diego State | 2016 | 344 | 0.320 | 4.2 | 110.1 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBYU | W27-0 | -7.4 | 27 | 122 | 4.5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 2 | vsChattanooga | W45-10 | — | 15 | 102 | 6.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.41 |
| 3 | @Mississippi State | L7-37 | 16.0 | 15 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 21 · Rush Yds 98 · Avg 4.7 · Rush TD 0
| 76 |
| 5.1 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0.04 |
| 4 | vsSyracuse | W35-26 | 4.0 | 8 | 14 | 1.8 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.16 |
| 6 | @Florida | W17-16 | 10.1 | 17 | 50 | 2.9 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | -0.08 |
| 7 | vsAuburn | W27-23 | 24.7 | 20 | 71 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.12 |
| 8 | @Ole Miss | W40-24 | 11.6 | 22 | 276 | 12.5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 10 | @Alabama | L10-24 | 33.5 | 19 | 71 | 3.7 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 0.08 |
| 11 | vsArkansas | W33-10 | 2.1 | 21 | 147 | 7.0 | 3 | — | — | — | 0.43 |
| 12 | @Tennessee | W30-10 | 1.2 | 24 | 97 | 4.0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 13 | vsTexas A&M | W45-21 | 9.4 | 28 | 127 | 4.5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 1 | vsNotre Dame | L17-21 | 20.8 | 21 | 98 | 4.7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 0.17 |
