Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets
TV SNP, TSN3·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
36%Canucks
to win
64%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WPG.439vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG-.225vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG-.089vs.117GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors WPG-1.04vs.0275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).