Jets at Canucks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Jets at Canucks

Winnipeg Jets(35-35-12)

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Sat, Feb 13, 10:00 PM ESTTV SN, SN1·Rogers Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

57%

Jets

to win

43%

Canucks

Expected goals: 3.2–2.8
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WPG
.491vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors WPG
-.048vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG
.117vs-.089GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors WPG
.027vs-1.045v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors VAN
VAN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Jets

Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/60
57% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/60
43% to start277 career GP

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · VAN Manny Malhotra

Leaders

vs

M. Scheifele
103
Points
E. Pettersson
51
K. Connor
39
Goals
J. DeBrusk
23
M. Scheifele
67
Assists
F. Hronek
41

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.7925th
Goals for / game: 30th2.56; 3.1221st
Goals against / game: 32nd3.83; 18.5%24th
Power play: 14th21.8%; 77.6%21st
Penalty kill: 32nd71.5%; 51.1%9th
Faceoffs: 22nd49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Nov 5@
Feb 13@this game
Apr 9@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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