Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers
TV NESN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
48%Bruins
to win
52%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.503vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA-.058vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS.201vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors BOS.662vs.2275v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BOS Marco Sturm · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).