Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins
TV NESN, SCRIPPS·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasonsPanthers
to win
60%
Bruins
- Expected goals
2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors
favors
→
- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.492vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA-.014vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.046vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
- Back-to-backfavors FLAFLA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected starters
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: FLA Paul Maurice · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
- Points
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















