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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

TV NESN, SCRIPPS·TD Garden

Our win probability

and the three reasons
FLA40%
Panthers
to win
60%BOS
Bruins
Expected goals
FLA 2.7–3.3 BOS
Goes to overtime
22%
← favors FLAfavors BOS →
  • Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS
    .492vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
  • Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA
    -.014vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
  • Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS
    -.046vs.201GSAx / 60
  • Home icefavors BOS
    BOS at home
  • Back-to-backfavors FLA
    FLA played yesterday

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of

Goaltending

projected starters
FLAPanthers
BOSBruins

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: FLA Paul Maurice · BOS Marco Sturm

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32
FLABOS
3.0018th
Goals for / game
10th3.27
3.3428th
Goals against / game
14th3.01
19.5%19th
Power play
9th23.4%
81.0%9th
Penalty kill
24th77.0%
46.8%29th
Faceoffs
4th53.1%

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).