Blue Jackets at Capitals — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Blue Jackets at Capitals

Columbus Blue Jackets(40-30-12)

Washington Capitals(43-30-9)

Sat, Apr 3, 5:00 PM EDTTV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Capital One Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

45%

Blue Jackets

to win

55%

Capitals

Expected goals: 2.9–3.1
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH
.496vs.516win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CBJ
.058vs.0135v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH
.035vs.165GSAx / 60
Home icefavors WSH
WSH at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Blue Jackets

Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/60
69% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/60
31% to start76 career GP

Capitals

Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/60
57% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/60
40% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/60
2% to start5 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: CBJ Rick Bowness · WSH Spencer Carbery

Leaders

vs

Z. Werenski
81
Points
A. Tuch
66
K. Marchenko
27
Goals
A. Tuch
33
Z. Werenski
59
Assists
D. Strome
39

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.0018th
Goals for / game: 15th3.18; 3.0616th
Goals against / game: 7th2.90; 18.9%22nd
Power play: 25th17.8%; 76.0%28th
Penalty kill: 14th80.1%; 50.6%13th
Faceoffs: 20th49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Dec 26@
Dec 31@
Apr 3@this game
Apr 6@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Sign in to join the chat.