Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets
TV CBJNHL, CBJHN·Nationwide Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Capitals
to win
58%
Blue Jackets
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors WSH.516vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CBJ.013vs.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WSH.165vs.035GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CBJCBJ at home
- Back-to-backfavors WSHWSH played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCapitals
Logan Thompson+0.33 GSAx/6057% to start218 career GP
Charlie Lindgren-0.05 GSAx/6040% to start175 career GP
Clay Stevenson-0.01 GSAx/602% to start5 career GP
Blue Jackets
Cam Talbot-0.07 GSAx/6069% to start603 career GP
Jet Greaves+0.27 GSAx/6031% to start76 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WSH Spencer Carbery · CBJ Rick Bowness
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).