Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings
TV DSN, CARNHL·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Hurricanes
to win
48%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.096vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).