Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes
TV DSN, CARNHL·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Red Wings
to win
60%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.496vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR-.060vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET-.027vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.273vs.8605v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
- Back-to-backfavors DETDET and CAR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersRed Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).