Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues
TV ESPN, SN·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
55%Sabres
to win
45%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 3.2–2.8
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BUF.535vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BUF.045vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BUF-.006vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
- Back-to-backfavors BUFSTL played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSabres
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-0.03 GSAx/6052% to start196 career GP
Alex Lyon+0.03 GSAx/6041% to start163 career GP
Colten Ellis-0.08 GSAx/607% to start16 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: BUF Lindy Ruff · STL Jim Montgomery
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.455th
- Goals for / game
- 24th2.80
- 2.9310th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 19.5%21st
- Power play
- 26th17.6%
- 81.9%4th
- Penalty kill
- 25th76.7%
- 45.9%32nd
- Faceoffs
- 19th49.4%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).