Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks
TV Prime Video, CHSN·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Kraken
to win
50%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors SEA.476vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SEA-.088vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.072vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA.724vs-.6125v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
- Back-to-backfavors SEASEA played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersKraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).