Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken
TV Prime Video, CHSN·Climate Pledge Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
38%Blackhawks
to win
62%
Kraken
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors SEA.463vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors SEA-.223vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.081vs-.072GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors SEA-.612vs.7245v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors SEASEA at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersBlackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
Kraken
Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/6054% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/6046% to start173 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CHI Jeff Blashill · SEA Lane Lambert
Leaders
vs
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).