Ducks at Canucks — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Ducks at Canucks

Anaheim Ducks(43-33-6)

Vancouver Canucks(25-49-8)

Sat, Mar 27, 4:00 PM EDTTV Prime Video, KCOP-13·Rogers Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

54%

Ducks

to win

46%

Canucks

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors ANA
.486vs.439win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors ANA
.009vs-.2255v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors ANA
-.049vs-.089GSAx / 60
Home icefavors VAN
VAN at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Ducks

Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/60
49% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/60
32% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/60
18% to start151 career GP

Canucks

Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/60
42% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/60
41% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/60
10% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/60
8% to start23 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: ANA Joel Quenneville · VAN Manny Malhotra

Leaders

vs

C. Gauthier
69
Points
E. Pettersson
51
C. Gauthier
41
Goals
J. DeBrusk
23
J. LaCombe
48
Assists
F. Hronek
41

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2313th
Goals for / game: 30th2.56; 3.5129th
Goals against / game: 32nd3.83; 18.6%23rd
Power play: 14th21.8%; 76.4%27th
Penalty kill: 32nd71.5%; 48.0%25th
Faceoffs: 22nd49.3%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 27@
Nov 3@
Dec 16@
Mar 27@this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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